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Gold-$

Gold is not an investment, it's money and an Insurance. The only currency without liability and counterparty risk.[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]

Your choice: You either take physical delivery of your Gold or you stay in worthless fiat paper.

 


Updated October 28, 2011

Break away gaps are being closed = very bullish - correction over.

Bullish Objective   $ 2380 Major ONE up from $ 256 to $ 1015
Resistance   $ 1880 Major TWO down from $ 1015 to $ 700
Support   $ 1680 Major THREE up from $ 700 to $ 3500
Bearish Objective   $ 1550 Major FOUR down from $ 3500 to $ 2500
Technical pattern   Bull run Major FIVE up from $ 2500 to $ 10,000

Our Opinion

  • We have a paradigm shift! Gold did break the $ 1,444, and we are sure it will rise to $2500 - $3500 (and higher). Don't expect Gold to come down like happened in 1981...

  • To have a bubble in Gold the price should soar to $5500 before year end. At this time there is absolutely NO top formation visible, nor had we an exponential exhaustion run. Gold is in a secular bull market, which means dips, when they occur, must be bought. [$ 1550 was an ultimate buying opportunity].

  • Are you still buying? Chinese, Mexican and Russians Central Banks continue to buy Gold.

  • Gold corrections traditionally lasts for 2 to 6 weeks. Never forget that during bull markets Corrections are Swift and Violent!

  • A steeper channel (acceleration) comes with higher volatility.

  • We published this in June: The week of June 13, 2011 is probably the last opportunity to buy Gold at these LOW PRICES. A LOW indicates the bullish cycle will resume and we probably won't see much of a Summer correction..

  • We have fractional Gold and the relationship physical Gold to paper gold is at least 100:1 [the large banks are on the short side - so don't expect these to advise you to buy gold and to take physical delivery - hope you're warned]

  • We advise to keep up to 60% of your savings in physical Gold/Silver.

  • If you have no physical Gold, you have NO money.


GLD ETF strip story: [GLD is an ETF and should not be bought as an investment !]

Permalink

April 20, 2011
Bullish HS formation with 158 as objective and 140 as support.
August 11: overbought September 23: Bottom fishing & gaps FILLED September 26: too much, too deep and too fast

 

 


Updated October 28,  2011. - New Objectives   $ 1860 - $ 2200. - $ 2380 - $ 2520

The longer a consolidation/accumulation lasts, the stronger the coming Bull/Bear run will be.

Gold pf1

 

Short term candle October 18

Chart comment

 

 

  • September 7 : $-Gold must break $ 1920 level to resume bull run. Technical indicators BEARISH.
  • September 26: only a 10% correction and back in the bottom of the acceleration channel.October 3 - 6: V-reversal! and support of accelerated trend line: BUY
  • October 10: short term objective is $ 1775, next is $ 1875. $1580 is an important support level!
  • October 18: note the triangle: bullish it normally is. Especially because of the long bullish tails.
  • October 27: Breakout of W-bottom formation. Note the bullish constellation of the Moving Averages. Objective is old top or $1900.
  • October 28: Bull run.

Long term Candle October 10


Gold cycles: Each bull run lasts for about  7 to 8 months and is followed by a 2 to 2 1/2 month correction. Hence during the coming month of November we should see Gold resuming its bull run. At the same time the Volatility of Gold is increasing and this is visible on the MACD index.


Updated August 9, 2011 -

This is a disconnect and a huge opportunity. Gold shares normally lead Gold during upswings...like it tries to now...unsuccessfully...click here for more


Updated August 23, 2011 - The Gold-Silver ratio tells us when to buy/Sell gold & silver


Fibonacci levels and cycles: Fibonacci levels are key resistance and support levels. These levels exist and can be seen all over the nature.

These are the cycles for $-Gold: Active cycle is Major THREE up to $ 3500

  • Major ONE up from $ 256 to $ 1015

  • Major TWO down from $ 1015 to $ 700

  • Major THREE up from $ 700 to $ 3500

  • Major FOUR down from $ 3500 to $ 2500

  • Major FIVE up from $ 2500 to $ 10000


Gold congestion zones and subsequent bull runs: “Time is more important than price; when time is up price will reverse. (W. Gann)”

  • leg 1 from $ 430 to $ 720 (September 06 to May 07) + 67% - done
  • leg 2 from $ 700 to $ 1,000 (September 07 to April 08) +43% - done
  • leg 3 from $ 950 to $ 1,300 (September 09 to October 2010) +30% - done
  • leg 4 from $ 1300 to $ 1450/$ 1640/ $ 1900 (October 2010 to August 2011?) +46% - done
  • leg 5 from $ 1600 to $ ?????

Updated January 3, 2011 - Dead and Golden crosses on the Moving Averages

 


A fresh bull run has been initiated. Also check the constellation chart to the right with a bullish objective of $ 1,460. (October 2010)


We 'never' experienced a weak price of Gold during a cycle of 'real negative interest rates' ! Remember that the price of Gold is not driven by a weak dollar and that we have and may see again Gold and the Dollar rise in tandem. Central bankers do not like gold because it is a monetary metal and they manage fiat (paper money) currencies. Therefore when gold rises strongly or persistently against a currency, it is signaling that CBs are printing too much of it. The theory of Keynes that the Great Depression was due to the contraction in money supply because of the Gold Standard is incorrect. The opposite is true. Few know Keynes was in fact a Government employee...Like John Law was an employee of the French court...

 

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