Long Term Charts
Updated november 1, 2011 -
Markets came down as a result of the 2008 deleveraging, as a result of the Greek deleveraging (August 2011) and will each time rise as a result of Quantitative Easing. 2009/10 markets corrected all the way to their 200 day Moving Average and calculated objectives. When expressed in Real Money or Gold charts continue to look very nasty. But NEVER forget Stock markets normally recover within two years' time, so don't let you scare out of the market each time we sink deeper in the Hyperinflationary depression. Remember at all times ZIMBABWE!
Whichever scenario is being played, World Stock Markets sit in a CLEAR BEARISH TREND when expressed in Real Money or Gold. The disconnect between the Stock Market indexes and Gold started in 2003. So why waste your time and energy to try to outsmart these Common Stock Market Indexes?
Note: We have added the Index expressed in Gold (gold line) on some charts.
| The American (and British) stockmarkets are bullish (in Nominal Terms)! | |
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Dow Jones to Oct 14,2011 |
A 30,000 and higher Dow Jones objective Quantitative Easing will avoid that the stock markets crash below the 2003 bottom and worsening economic conditions will limit their upward scope ONLY until the hyperinflation starts. Top is the chart of the Dow Jones since 1992. By injecting trillions of fresh money (QE I, QE II, QE III) and lowering interest rates to zero, we had a 'STRONG TECHNICAL BOUNCE' . Whichever earnings will be published, we expect the Zimbabwe effect to live: markets will when Hyperinflation starts rise only expressed in NOMINAL TERMS. Bearish potential is - 30%. I expect more sideward action BEFORE the index breaks out and geysers to new highs as a result of Quantitative Easing to infinity.
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Footsie to Oct 14, 2011 |
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All European stock markets are bearish/ sideward trending |
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German DAX |
The disconnect between Gold and the Stock Markets started in 2003! |
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If you decide to stay into common stocks, the German stock market is one of the better but not really convincing. Authorities have all advantage to ensure we have higher nominal stock markets. Such has a direct impact on the public and private pension funds, the (re-) insurance companies and the treasury of the Banks. But they only can do so much....
The Swiss SMI index: also here we have sideward action. Remember that Stocks are REAL ASSETS and that by buying Swiss shares, you're out of the Dollar and out of the Euro. |
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Swiss SMI |
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French CAC |
The Paris CAC-index has a similar pattern, the only difference is that the CAC did not manage to climb back to its pre 911 level hereby indicating the general weakness of the French stock market.
French authorities have founded a State Fund which is activated each time a non-French tries to take over a domestic French company. 2008 year we had a BEARISH CROSS-OVER of the Moving Averages and more recently a correction with a pull-back to the 200 day Moving Average. France could well be the best hidden Drama of the EU. |
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Dutch AEX |
The Dutch AEX index. The bullish objective of the Reversed HS pattern has been reached and stock market is not performing as well as the Swiss and the German are. | |
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Spanish IBEX |
The Spanish IBEX: sideward trending....watch out for a Greek scenario! | |
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Greece |
The Greek stock market clearly has fallen in a STOP LOSS. The index broke below the 2003 bottom and all Moving averages are trending lower. This is a PERFECT example of what to expect once that other countries run into the same problems (which eventually will happen). | |
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Austria |
The Austrian stock market has fallen back all the way to the point where the exponential run-away initially started (blue line). This happened as the East European problem unfolded. The support line held and the market has initiated a fresh bull run expressed in nominal terms only. | |
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Portugal |
Portuguese and Italian stock markets indexes only need so much to fall through the 2003 bottom and their last long term support.
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Italy |
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| Chinese (HOCG) and Japanese markets | |
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The Chinese SSEC index: Important is to remember China is a HOCG (high order capital good) country and that it will SUFFER in a LEVERAGED way from the Western world depression. The situation can be compared with the United States and Great Britain during the Great Depression of the 1930's. Having said this, the Index still sits in a SECULAR UPTREND.
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The Japanese Nikkei has lost 2/3 of its value since 1996 and over 3/4 since the 1989 top of almost 40,000. The chart for the Nikkei is different to the previous ones. Japan's financial situation is a lot worse than realized. Japan's problems started already in 1989. Today the Japanese stock market is lagging...not a good option to diversify in. |
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Brazil |
Brazil ...one of the better performing stock markets... | |
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