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  • Everyone carries a part of society on his shoulders, no one is relieved of his share of responsibility by others. And no one can find a safe way for himself if society is sweeping towards destruction. Therefore everyone, in his own interest, must thrust himself vigorously into the intellectual battle.

    Ludwig von Mises

  • If you don't trust gold, do you trust the logic of taking a pine tree, worth $4,000-$5,000, cutting it up, turning it into pulp, putting some ink on it and then calling it one billion dollars?

    Kenneth J. Gerbino

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World Indexes

It 's readily apparent what affect the trillions and trillions of dollars, Euros and Pounds central banks have pumped into the system is having". President Obama is launching QE III ($ 447 bn)! ...The similar action = raising the debt ceiling has been activated...This is nothing more than a correction and the objective of 14,100 is still valid....providing the present support holds. Lafarge is preparing TARP in Europe (expected time of activation is November 2011)

November 1, 2011: There is a disconnect between the North-American and European stock markets... Important Dow Jones levels are 10,600 (stop loss) and 11,700 (stop buy). European Markets are poised to keep sliding or will move sideward while support will hold for the American markets.

Now that the dust settles it more and more occurs to me that what happened last week could have been orchestrated by the Authorities and is part of the Deflationary Propaganda. Do know that they have an unlimited amount of Fiat money to play with and that there are over $ 1 quadrillion derivatives which can be used to scare money out of Shares, Gold, Silver and Commodities into worthless Fiat money and options to buy it or Treasuries. I assume that similar techniques and flash sell-offs will happen again in the future.

Uncertainty will grow over the coming months until the Hyperinflationary depression sets is, and World Stock markets and interest rates start dancing to the tunes of the Zimbabwe scenario: rising Nominal Stock markets because of Quantitative Easing and Hyperinflation...but the Gold and Silver sector will perform a lot better". The stock markets of those countries (ex. Belgium) where more TAXATION is expected will off course under perform.

Expressed in Real Money we have an ongoing CRASH!...therefore it makes NO sense to stay in common Equities. Having said this, there is no doubt equities are a lot better than Bonds. For those who seek income and stability and refuse to affect a larger part of their savings to the Gold/Silver and Energy sector, we have opened an UTILITY section.

October 10, 2011 - Dow Jones expressed in Gold - an ongoing CRASH and still bearish!

Markets are a WARNING for what is to come: high volatility as insecurity grows!

  • The Markets are NEVER wrong. The trick is to be patient enough to listen what they are saying.

  • The performance of World Stock markets not really is our concern as at this time we MAINLY are invested in Gold, Silver and special investment vehicles which are NOT in a bearish trend when expressed in Gold. As we advise to hold Gold, Silver, Gold and Silver shares and Oil shares (see portfolio) any correction should affect us in a lesser degree (it did so in 2008).

  • Expressed in Real Money or gold, most stock market indexes and Bonds sit in a solid BEAR trend and we advise to stay away until this trend has reversed. Check the charts by clicking here...

Our opinion: Stocks are REAL ASSETS

  • Best case scenario Stock markets are about to rise expressed in Nominal terms only....because of the Hyperinflationary depression. But we may have some corrections BEFORE this happens.

  • If and when the credit rating of the USA is lowered, we expect a crisis in the Bond market which will temporary infect the Stock markets. A crashing Bond market, a weaker and/or crashing Fiat currency, a weaker stock market and stronger Gold. This what the citizens of a country will see each time the system starts to fail...until Hyperinflation sets in.

  • When Governments are failing, you sell their Bonds and buy Real Assets or Stocks.

  • We expect more sideward/bearish action (pre 2008 deleveraging tops are the best case scenario's ) until the Hyperinflation kicks in and people seeks protection of Stocks instead of holding on to worthless paper money. Shares are REAL ASSETS!

  • In our opinion, if something does go wrong, the Chinese and Indian markets won't be able to withstand negative Western world stock markets. After all they are subject to the HOCGood (high order capital goods) rule.

 

Charts for October 10, 2011 - Some Markets found a BOTTOM...and QE III is kicking in....

UK FTSE Swiss SMI German DAX Brazil Canadian Dow World Stock Index
Canary in the mine shaft - bull trend alive - Stop Buy is 5400  A bottom we had Bullish wedge we have stop loss..... bottom fishing !
Shanghai index Japanese Nikkei Spanish IBEX Austrian ATX French CAC Australian all ordinary
Bear trend NOT bullish Bear trend: SELL Bear trend: SELL Bear trend: SELL Bear trend: SELL
Greece gen. share Italy/Milan Index Portugal Dow Belgium Dow Dutch AEX
Bear trend: SELL Bear trend: SELL Bear trend: SELL Bear trend: SELL Bear trend: SELL

 

The Footsie is the canary in the mine shaft for the World Stock Markets and the index is bouncing off the 5000 support level. The least we can expect is sideward bullish action until Hyperinflation breaks out and the index soars to the upside....
  • April 19: the index did not manage to break through the MAL line. Best case scenario we shall see more sideward action.

  • May 5 - June 3: no way the Footsie could penetrate the resistance line.

  • July 11: overbought and unable to break the 6100. This is the 3rd time it fails...CAUTION!

  • August 9: fat bullish tail.

  • August 22: the least we can expect is a pull back to the 200 day Moving Average (red line)

  • September 9: dangerous Bearish wedge

  • September 28 - October 4: BOTTOM FISHING?

  • October 10: Bottom established.


 Updated november 1, 2011 : Stocks are better than Bonds

Bullish Objective 14,000
Resistance 12,800
Support 11,200
Bearish Objective na
Technical pattern

technically very bullish...

 

INDU pf1

Short term candle October 6

Chart comments

10600 - 11600 (Stop Loss - Stop Buy)

  
  • August 4: BEARISH FLAG
    activated...but the Dow is running into support. [Corrections during bull markets are swift and violent!]

  • August 8: SUPPORT...increasing volume...potential SELL OFF CLIMAX

  • August 22: a break below 10800 could be "Game Over"

  • September 9: BEARISH FLAG & Death cross of Moving averages.

  • September 28: BOTTOM FISHING

  • October 6: potential STOP BUY signal.

  • November 1 : EXTREMELY BULLISH medium term configuration.

Candle weekly October 11


november 1, 2011: S&P 500 Large Cap Index -

SPX pf1

Short term Candle - October 4 Chart comment


  • June 3: OVERSOLD and still a BULL TREND.

  • July 12: closing in on the objective = Caution

  • August 8: closing in on SUPPORT

  • August 22: in for some correction. I hope...but not the best place to be right now.

  • September 9: BEARISH FLAG and DEATH CROSS...

  • September 28 - Oct 4: BOTTOM
    FISHING!?

  • October 31: stop buy activated!
  • November 1: I cannot help it, but I am bullish as hell....
  
 Long term Candle - October 11

November 1, 2011: Dow Jones Transportation index - bottom fishing - 4100 Stop loss & 4700 Stop buy

TRAN pf1

 Short term candle - October 4 Chart comment

  • May 5: overbought but still a BULL Trend.

  • June 3: OVERSOLD and technical formation indicates a potential BEARISH scenario. CAUTION!!

  • July 12: BEARISH FLAG = CAUTION

  • August 4 - 8: bearish flag activated! but support is closing in....

  • August 11: and support may not hold...CAUTION!

  • September 9: Bearish signals...but support is holding.

  • September 28 - October 4; bottom
    fishing and several bullish signals.

  • November 1: here also a CLEARLY DEFINED UPTREND! Note the bearish flag which I guess could become a halfway stop.
 

 

 

 
Long term candle -September 28

 

 

 

 

26
Juli
2009

2009 BUY SIGNAL FOR STOCK MARKETS

Not a single analyst who mentions the bullish Head & Shoulder pattern

Categories: Index In Real Money/Gold, How others did, Long Term Charts, News, Education Hall, World Indexes

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