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Yen & Gold

October 28, 2011 - Gold in Yen :  - a steady uptrend it remains - BUY

Yen - gold

[Most Recent Quotes from www.kitco.com]



Bullish Objective  Y 1680
Resistance Y 1450
Support Y 1180
Bearish Objective Y 1080
Technical pattern bull trend

 

Short term candle - August 28

Chart comment

  • March 17: landing in a low risk BUY zone

  • March 29: steady uptrend

  • April 5: spectacular breakout

  • May 6: OVERSOLD...bottom fishing

  • May 20 - June 1: bull run

  • June 20: coil

  • July 8: potential break out of the coil

  • July 18 - August 3: breakout, bull run and acceleration

  • August 12 - 23: Accelerations are swift as they scare the S..T out of the shorters...but OVERBOUGHT

  • October 17 - 28: almost back on the bottom of the uptrend...and resuming bull run. An excellent alternate for the Dollar/Euro instead of the Swiss, Aussie and CanDollar.

 

Long term candle - August 23

 


Updated October 28, 2011 - Yen in Dollar - Whatever happens DO NOT HOLD DOLLARS!

XJY pf1

Short term candle August 3 Chart comment
  • March 7: coil in the make..

  • March 29: DRAMATIC BREAKOUT has been controlled by the CBJ and G7!

  • April 28: sideward channel

  • May 20: the Yen is stronger than the US Dollar but weaker than the Euro

  • July 8: but the Yen remains stronger than the US Dollar

  • July 26 - August 12 : the Yen seems to be breaking out of its uptrend channel against the Dollar..

  • October 28: overbought but still bullish. Remember Japan is holding HUGE amounts of US-dollars and part of these will be sold for the reconstruction of Japan after the Tsunami.

  • October 31:  Central bank of Japan interventions in an effort to stop the accelerated rise of the Yen. Buy corrections....

 

Long term candle July 8

 october 28, 2011 - Yen in Euro - BUY

eXJY pf1
Short term candle Chart comment

  • January 21, 2011: bearish wedge still alive...We prefer Swiss francs, Australian dollars, Canadian Dollars and temporary also South African Rands (on condition the actual test is positive).
  • March 7: potential break down out of the bearish wedge on the PF chart and trading zone on the candle chart right >>>>>>>>.
  • March 29: breaking down - note the bearish cross-over of the Moving Averages
  • July 18: OVERBOUGHT: Yen must fall back under 200 day Moving Average. If not a trend reversal is POSSIBLE (= weaker Euro)
  • August 12: Yen broke 200 day Moving Average...CAUTION if you have short positions....this market may turn around.
  • October 28: Japan is repatriating a lot of funds and this has bullish implications for the japanese Yen. BUY
Long term candle

The Yen strengthened considerably as panic hit international markets after the Tsunami. This turned into a self-feeding trend as increasingly large numbers of investors came under pressure and were forced to close more positions and buy back their Yen shorts. This saw the Yen go from being one of the weakest currencies in the world to one of the strongest. The NBJ tried to stem the rise of the Yen like the SNB tried last August...these measures as a rule only have a short term impact. NO CENTRAL BANK can reverse a market trend.

Japan is still the largest holder of Dollars. The Japanese economy and financial system has been in a cleansing process now since 1990 or over a period of 18 years. The policy of low interest rates they followed simply did not work...and we now have the forced repatriation of funds for there reconstruction of the country after the Tsunami.

Cash investors should consider the Yen as an alternate to the Euro and the Dollar. We even consider it as a valid alternate against the Swiss.  The Yen shows a clear trend reversal of a currency which has been under pressure for years as the Japanese experienced some cleansing of misallocated funds.


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